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Inspired by ClubELO.com, the ELO rating system is a method of calculating and comparing the relative strengths of teams in competition. For every match played, the ELO scores of the two teams are considered, and adjusted for other factors (such as home advantage), to calculate the likelihood of the match result. When the actual result of the game is known, the ELO score is adjusted accordingly, comparing the expected outcome of the game with the actual outcome - so a victory over Manchester United will be worth more points than one over Supermarine. The resulting ELO score can be used to compare the strengths of teams over time, and to project future results based on the current form of all teams.
| Choose a different matchup: |
HEREFORD vs. CARLISLE UNITED
(neutral venue - no home advantage applied to match-up calculations)
| The likelihood of the match result between the two sides, based on historical matches with the same ELO score difference. | The likelihood of the match result between the two sides, based on their respective ELO form in the last eight games. |
No equivalent historical matches with identical ELO scores.
A historical comparison of Hereford's and Carlisle United's ELO scores.
| Hereford | Carlisle United | |
|---|---|---|
| Current ELO Score: | 3083.4 | 3471.1 |
| Best ELO Score: | 3777.9 Saturday, September 4, 1976 |
3907.2 Saturday, August 24, 1974 |
| Worst ELO Score: | 2756.8 Friday, December 26, 2014 |
3293.8 Saturday, December 13, 2003 |
A summary of all historical matches between Hereford and Carlisle United.
| Venue | Played | Hereford wins |
Draws | Carlisle United wins |
Hereford goals |
Carlisle United goals |
Hereford SR% |
Carlisle United SR% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TOTAL | 26 | 11 | 6 | 9 | 29 | 30 | 53.8% | 46.2% |
| HOME | 13 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 16 | 9 | 69.2% | 30.8% |
| AWAY | 13 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 13 | 21 | 38.5% | 61.5% |
| Date | Comp | Home Team | Score | Away Team | ELO |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 MAR 2009 | LGE | Carlisle United (3604) |
1 - 2 | Hereford United (3541) |
13.1 |
| 21 OCT 2008 | LGE | Hereford United (3582) |
1 - 0 | Carlisle United (3663) |
11 |
| 5 APR 2005 | CONF | Hereford United (3528) |
0 - 0 | Carlisle United (3497) |
2.6 |
| 23 OCT 2004 | CONF | Carlisle United (3482) |
3 - 1 | Hereford United (3547) |
15.2 |
| 15 MAR 1997 | LGE | Carlisle United (3641) |
2 - 3 | Hereford United (3416) |
16.8 |
| 14 DEC 1996 | LGE | Hereford United (3446) |
2 - 3 | Carlisle United (3595) |
7.6 |
| 11 FEB 1995 | LGE | Carlisle United (3630) |
1 - 0 | Hereford United (3366) |
2.6 |
| 19 NOV 1994 | LGE | Hereford United (3372) |
0 - 1 | Carlisle United (3590) |
6 |
| 9 APR 1994 | LGE | Carlisle United (3476) |
1 - 2 | Hereford United (3377) |
14.6 |
| 1 JAN 1994 | LGE | Hereford United (3388) |
0 - 0 | Carlisle United (3435) |
0.7 |
| 17 APR 1993 | LGE | Carlisle United (3390) |
0 - 0 | Hereford United (3412) |
1.5 |
| 12 APR 1993 | LGE | Hereford United (3404) |
1 - 0 | Carlisle United (3398) |
7.7 |
| 28 MAR 1992 | LGE | Hereford United (3405) |
1 - 0 | Carlisle United (3329) |
5.9 |
| 23 NOV 1991 | LGE | Carlisle United (3353) |
1 - 0 | Hereford United (3440) |
10.3 |
| 26 JAN 1991 | LGE | Carlisle United (3425) |
0 - 1 | Hereford United (3457) |
11.3 |
| 15 SEP 1990 | LGE | Hereford United (3447) |
4 - 2 | Carlisle United (3477) |
13 |
| 20 JAN 1990 | LGE | Carlisle United (3545) |
2 - 1 | Hereford United (3462) |
5.7 |
| 19 AUG 1989 | LGE | Hereford United (3448) |
2 - 2 | Carlisle United (3477) |
1.4 |
| 18 FEB 1989 | LGE | Carlisle United (3446) |
3 - 0 | Hereford United (3414) |
12 |
| 8 OCT 1988 | LGE | Hereford United (3402) |
2 - 1 | Carlisle United (3360) |
6.6 |
| 30 JAN 1988 | LGE | Hereford United (3428) |
2 - 0 | Carlisle United (3399) |
10.1 |
| 31 AUG 1987 | LGE | Carlisle United (3505) |
3 - 1 | Hereford United (3429) |
8.4 |
| 11 APR 1978 | LGE | Carlisle United (3657) |
2 - 0 | Hereford United (3553) |
6.9 |
| 24 SEP 1977 | LGE | Hereford United (3640) |
1 - 0 | Carlisle United (3683) |
8.2 |
| 4 MAY 1977 | LGE | Hereford United (3705) |
0 - 0 | Carlisle United (3734) |
2.1 |
| 14 SEP 1976 | LGE | Carlisle United (3754) |
2 - 2 | Hereford United (3772) |
2.4 |